World Cup 2026
Model-driven predictions for market traders
72%accuracy across 610 predictions
Informational analytics only. All probabilities are model estimates and can be wrong.
Live predictions preview
View all →England vs Argentina
Draw
4%
model prob
-29pp
England vs Argentina
Over 2.5
62%
model prob
+22pp
England vs Argentina
Argentina Win
52%
model prob
+20pp
10,000
simulations per match
Monte Carlo Engine
Minute-by-minute match simulation with Poisson scoring, Dixon-Coles correction, and knockout extra time modeling.
9
market types
Market Coverage
Winner, advances, total goals, BTTS, correct score, win margin, first to score, first half, second half.
3-source
ensemble blend
Probability Fusion
Model estimates blended with Kalshi market prices and Polymarket trader intelligence for calibrated outputs.