Public Proof / Settled only
Historical evidence without the live signal
A read-only record of settled model forecasts and parlays. Pending events never count, and the public response contains no current picks, prices, identities, or proprietary research.
DATA SCOPE
Resolved outcomes only
SCORING
Accuracy + Brier
EXCLUDED
Live and actionable data
Tennis / Frozen ledger
Settled forecast record
SETTLED
207
WINS
133
MISSES
74
ACCURACY
64.3%
Probability calibration
207 settled forecasts with a comparable market probability.
0.225
MODEL BRIER
0.225
MARKET BRIER
0.222
Market Brier is 0.003 lower on this sample.
Parlay record
Fully graded frozen slips only.
4.5%
SETTLED
22
HITS
1
MISSES
21
A parlay counts as a hit only when every frozen leg resolves correctly.
MLB / Frozen ledger
Settled forecast record
SETTLED
60
WINS
33
MISSES
27
ACCURACY
55.0%
Probability calibration
10 settled forecasts with a comparable market probability.
0.304
MODEL BRIER
0.304
MARKET BRIER
0.267
Market Brier is 0.036 lower on this sample.
Parlay record
Fully graded frozen slips only.
20.0%
SETTLED
5
HITS
1
MISSES
4
A parlay counts as a hit only when every frozen leg resolves correctly.
Freeze rule
Forecasts are frozen before the scheduled event starts and are not rewritten after the outcome.
Grade rule
Only officially resolved outcomes count as wins or misses. Pending events are excluded.
Score rule
Accuracy measures direction; Brier score measures probability quality. Lower Brier is better.
Snapshot generated Jul 30, 2026, 4:11 AM UTC
Historical model results are informational and do not guarantee future outcomes. Small samples are preliminary and are shown with their sample size instead of being hidden.