MLB Regular Season · MLB
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves: Seer9 prediction and result
Game time
MLB Regular Season · Oct 7, 10:00 PM UTC
Los Angeles DodgersvsAtlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers Win
Model expected runs: home 2.99, away 4.66 (total 7.64)
Starters: Tyler Glasnow (away) vs Tyler Mahle (home)
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Original model version: mlb-markov-v2. The published forecast and evidence cutoff remain on record.
Why the model chose this outcome
These factors were recorded with the forecast before the game. They describe the model inputs; they are not a guarantee.
- Starters: Tyler Glasnow (away) vs Tyler Mahle (home)
- Season rates: Atlanta Braves 4.58 RS/g, 3.86 RA/g (58% win) | Los Angeles Dodgers 4.94 RS/g, 3.70 RA/g (62% win)
- Model expected runs: home 2.99, away 4.66 (total 7.64)
What could change the forecast
v2 Markov base-out simulation (PA-by-PA: batter-vs-pitcher log5 blends, base-out states, bullpen innings 7+, extra-innings ghost runner, park/weather on event rates)
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Result
WON · 4-1
Official settlement recorded Oct 8, 2026, 1:55 AM UTC. The pregame forecast above was not rewritten.
Moneyline: Atlanta Braves Win34.5% · lost
Moneyline: Los Angeles Dodgers Win65.5% · won
1st Inning Run (YRFI/NRFI): Run in 1st Inning40.0% · won
1st Inning Run (YRFI/NRFI): No Run in 1st Inning60.0% · lost