MLB Regular Season · MLB
Tampa Bay Rays @ Milwaukee Brewers: Seer9 prediction
Game time
MLB Regular Season · Oct 25, 12:00 AM UTC
Tampa Bay RaysvsMilwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers Win
Model expected runs: home 3.11, away 3.19 (total 6.30)
Starters: Drew Rasmussen (away) vs Logan Henderson (home)
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Original model version: mlb-markov-v2. The published forecast and evidence cutoff remain on record.
Why the model chose this outcome
These factors were recorded with the forecast before the game. They describe the model inputs; they are not a guarantee.
- Starters: Drew Rasmussen (away) vs Logan Henderson (home)
- Season rates: Milwaukee Brewers 5.14 RS/g, 3.81 RA/g (64% win) | Tampa Bay Rays 4.54 RS/g, 4.01 RA/g (61% win)
- Model expected runs: home 3.11, away 3.19 (total 6.30)
What could change the forecast
v2 Markov base-out simulation (PA-by-PA: batter-vs-pitcher log5 blends, base-out states, bullpen innings 7+, extra-innings ghost runner, park/weather on event rates)
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Result
The recorded pick and explanation remain here. This page will show the final result after settlement is confirmed.