UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · MMA
Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev: Seer9 prediction and result
Game time
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · Oct 24, 2:00 PM UTC
Grant DawsonvsNurullo Aliev
Grant Dawson Win
Opponent-adjusted results from 15 and 5 observed UFC-affiliated bouts.
Dated non-UFC results: 11-1 and 7-0; the pre-UFC signal is shrunk toward neutral.
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Original model version: mma-career-v2. The published forecast and evidence cutoff remain on record.
Why the model chose this outcome
These factors were recorded with the forecast before the game. They describe the model inputs; they are not a guarantee.
- Opponent-adjusted results from 15 and 5 observed UFC-affiliated bouts.
- Dated non-UFC results: 11-1 and 7-0; the pre-UFC signal is shrunk toward neutral.
- Limited histories are pulled toward an even matchup; inactivity increases uncertainty.
What could change the forecast
Round-level striking and grappling are not in this baseline. Weigh-in, injury and camp information have not been verified.
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Result
WON · Grant Dawson won
Official settlement recorded Oct 24, 2026, 5:02 PM UTC. The pregame forecast above was not rewritten.
Fight winner: Grant Dawson Win62.8% · won
Fight winner: Nurullo Aliev Win37.2% · lost