UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · MMA
Abubakar Vagaev vs Jacob Malkoun: Seer9 prediction and result
Game time
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · Oct 24, 2:00 PM UTC
Abubakar VagaevvsJacob Malkoun
Jacob Malkoun Win
Opponent-adjusted results from 1 and 9 observed UFC-affiliated bouts.
Dated non-UFC results: 24-4 and 4-0; the pre-UFC signal is shrunk toward neutral.
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Original model version: mma-career-v2. The published forecast and evidence cutoff remain on record.
Why the model chose this outcome
These factors were recorded with the forecast before the game. They describe the model inputs; they are not a guarantee.
- Opponent-adjusted results from 1 and 9 observed UFC-affiliated bouts.
- Dated non-UFC results: 24-4 and 4-0; the pre-UFC signal is shrunk toward neutral.
- Limited histories are pulled toward an even matchup; inactivity increases uncertainty.
What could change the forecast
Model confidence is low for this matchup.
Round-level striking and grappling are not in this baseline. Weigh-in, injury and camp information have not been verified.
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Result
LOST · Abubakar Vagaev won
Official settlement recorded Oct 24, 2026, 4:02 PM UTC. The pregame forecast above was not rewritten.
Fight winner: Abubakar Vagaev Win41.0% · won
Fight winner: Jacob Malkoun Win59.0% · lost