UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan · MMA
Julian Erosa vs JeongYeong Lee: Seer9 prediction and result
Game time
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan · Oct 31, 9:00 PM UTC
Julian ErosavsJeongYeong Lee
Julian Erosa Win
Opponent-adjusted results from 19 and 4 observed UFC-affiliated bouts.
Dated non-UFC results: 21-4 and 7-1; the pre-UFC signal is shrunk toward neutral.
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Original model version: mma-career-v2. The published forecast and evidence cutoff remain on record.
Why the model chose this outcome
These factors were recorded with the forecast before the game. They describe the model inputs; they are not a guarantee.
- Opponent-adjusted results from 19 and 4 observed UFC-affiliated bouts.
- Dated non-UFC results: 21-4 and 7-1; the pre-UFC signal is shrunk toward neutral.
- Limited histories are pulled toward an even matchup; inactivity increases uncertainty.
What could change the forecast
Round-level striking and grappling are not in this baseline. Weigh-in, injury and camp information have not been verified.
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Result
WON · Julian Erosa won
Official settlement recorded Oct 31, 2026, 11:19 PM UTC. The pregame forecast above was not rewritten.
Fight winner: Julian Erosa Win63.5% · won
Fight winner: JeongYeong Lee Win36.5% · lost