UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker · MMA
Keiichiro Nakamura vs Ollie Schmid: Seer9 prediction and result
Game time
UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker · Nov 7, 10:00 PM UTC
Keiichiro NakamuravsOllie Schmid
Keiichiro Nakamura Win
Opponent-adjusted results from 1 and 1 observed UFC-affiliated bouts.
Dated non-UFC results: 5-1 and 4-2; the pre-UFC signal is shrunk toward neutral.
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Original model version: mma-career-v2. The published forecast and evidence cutoff remain on record.
Why the model chose this outcome
These factors were recorded with the forecast before the game. They describe the model inputs; they are not a guarantee.
- Opponent-adjusted results from 1 and 1 observed UFC-affiliated bouts.
- Dated non-UFC results: 5-1 and 4-2; the pre-UFC signal is shrunk toward neutral.
- Limited histories are pulled toward an even matchup; inactivity increases uncertainty.
What could change the forecast
Model confidence is low for this matchup.
Round-level striking and grappling are not in this baseline. Weigh-in, injury and camp information have not been verified.
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Result
LOST · Ollie Schmid won
Official settlement recorded Nov 8, 2026, 1:13 AM UTC. The pregame forecast above was not rewritten.
Fight winner: Keiichiro Nakamura Win64.3% · lost
Fight winner: Ollie Schmid Win35.7% · won