UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker · MMA
Mitch Raposo vs Marcos Degli: Seer9 prediction and result
Game time
UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker · Nov 7, 10:00 PM UTC
Mitch RaposovsMarcos Degli
Marcos Degli Win
Opponent-adjusted results from 5 and 1 observed UFC-affiliated bouts.
Dated non-UFC results: 9-0 and 14-3; the pre-UFC signal is shrunk toward neutral.
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Original model version: mma-career-v2. The published forecast and evidence cutoff remain on record.
Why the model chose this outcome
These factors were recorded with the forecast before the game. They describe the model inputs; they are not a guarantee.
- Opponent-adjusted results from 5 and 1 observed UFC-affiliated bouts.
- Dated non-UFC results: 9-0 and 14-3; the pre-UFC signal is shrunk toward neutral.
- Limited histories are pulled toward an even matchup; inactivity increases uncertainty.
What could change the forecast
Round-level striking and grappling are not in this baseline. Weigh-in, injury and camp information have not been verified.
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Result
LOST · Mitch Raposo won
Official settlement recorded Nov 8, 2026, 1:43 AM UTC. The pregame forecast above was not rewritten.
Fight winner: Mitch Raposo Win46.3% · won
Fight winner: Marcos Degli Win53.7% · lost