UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker · MMA
Austin Bashi vs Carlos Calderon: Seer9 prediction and result
Game time
UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker · Nov 7, 10:00 PM UTC
Austin BashivsCarlos Calderon
Austin Bashi Win
Opponent-adjusted results from 4 and 1 observed UFC-affiliated bouts.
Dated non-UFC results: 12-0 and 6-2; the pre-UFC signal is shrunk toward neutral.
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Original model version: mma-career-v2. The published forecast and evidence cutoff remain on record.
Why the model chose this outcome
These factors were recorded with the forecast before the game. They describe the model inputs; they are not a guarantee.
- Opponent-adjusted results from 4 and 1 observed UFC-affiliated bouts.
- Dated non-UFC results: 12-0 and 6-2; the pre-UFC signal is shrunk toward neutral.
- Limited histories are pulled toward an even matchup; inactivity increases uncertainty.
What could change the forecast
Round-level striking and grappling are not in this baseline. Weigh-in, injury and camp information have not been verified.
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Result
WON · Austin Bashi won
Official settlement recorded Nov 7, 2026, 11:21 PM UTC. The pregame forecast above was not rewritten.
Fight winner: Austin Bashi Win66.6% · won
Fight winner: Carlos Calderon Win33.4% · lost