Why the model chose this outcome

These factors were recorded with the forecast before the game. They describe the model inputs; they are not a guarantee.

• Drive simulation: 10,000 games
• Expected score: DET 24.6 · ARI 24.4

What could change the forecast

Model confidence is low for this matchup.

Low-reliability NFL inputs; keep this forecast in shadow evaluation.

This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.

Result

WON · 45-21

Official settlement recorded Oct 12, 2026, 10:24 AM UTC. The pregame forecast above was not rewritten.