NFL Regular Season · Week 5 · NFL
Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots: Seer9 prediction and result
Game time
NFL Regular Season · Week 5 · Oct 11, 5:00 PM UTC
Las Vegas RaidersvsNew England Patriots
NE win
Drive simulation: 10,000 games
Expected score: LV 22.6 · NE 26.6
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Original model version: nfl-market-anchor-v2. The published forecast and evidence cutoff remain on record.
Why the model chose this outcome
These factors were recorded with the forecast before the game. They describe the model inputs; they are not a guarantee.
- Drive simulation: 10,000 games
- Expected score: LV 22.6 · NE 26.6
What could change the forecast
Model confidence is low for this matchup.
Low-reliability NFL inputs; keep this forecast in shadow evaluation.
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Result
WON · 17-45
Official settlement recorded Oct 12, 2026, 10:24 AM UTC. The pregame forecast above was not rewritten.
Winner: LV win55.0% · lost
Winner: NE win65.2% · won