ATP · TENNIS
Tomic vs Arnaldi: Seer9 prediction and result
Game time
ATP · Oct 8, 4:00 AM UTC
TomicvsArnaldi
Matteo Arnaldi Win
Bernard Tomic — serve -1 / return -11 vs ATP avg (31 matches)
Matteo Arnaldi — serve -3 / return +14 vs ATP avg (21 matches)
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Original model version: tennis-skill-structured-v2. The published forecast and evidence cutoff remain on record.
Why the model chose this outcome
These factors were recorded with the forecast before the game. They describe the model inputs; they are not a guarantee.
- Bernard Tomic — serve -1 / return -11 vs ATP avg (31 matches)
- Matteo Arnaldi — serve -3 / return +14 vs ATP avg (21 matches)
- Serve model on hard: Bernard Tomic holds 62% of service points, Matteo Arnaldi 65% — best of 3.
What could change the forecast
Model confidence is low for this matchup.
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Result
WON · Matteo Arnaldi won
Official settlement recorded Oct 8, 2026, 9:57 AM UTC. The pregame forecast above was not rewritten.
Match Winner: Bernard Tomic Win30.3% · lost
Match Winner: Matteo Arnaldi Win69.7% · won