ATP · TENNIS
Berrettini vs Nakashima: Seer9 prediction and result
Game time
ATP · Oct 9, 4:00 AM UTC
BerrettinivsNakashima
Matteo Berrettini Win
Matteo Berrettini — serve +46 / return +9 vs ATP avg (94 matches)
Brandon Nakashima — serve +29 / return -10 vs ATP avg (40 matches)
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Original model version: tennis-skill-structured-v2. The published forecast and evidence cutoff remain on record.
Why the model chose this outcome
These factors were recorded with the forecast before the game. They describe the model inputs; they are not a guarantee.
- Matteo Berrettini — serve +46 / return +9 vs ATP avg (94 matches)
- Brandon Nakashima — serve +29 / return -10 vs ATP avg (40 matches)
- Serve model on hard: Matteo Berrettini holds 72% of service points, Brandon Nakashima 69% — best of 3.
What could change the forecast
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Result
LOST · Brandon Nakashima won
Official settlement recorded Oct 9, 2026, 4:01 PM UTC. The pregame forecast above was not rewritten.
Match Winner: Matteo Berrettini Win63.0% · lost
Match Winner: Brandon Nakashima Win37.0% · won