ATP · TENNIS
Bublik vs Machac: Seer9 prediction and result
Game time
ATP · Oct 9, 4:00 AM UTC
BublikvsMachac
Tomas Machac Win
Alexander Bublik — serve +17 / return -3 vs ATP avg (99 matches)
Tomas Machac — serve +27 / return +10 vs ATP avg (31 matches)
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Original model version: tennis-skill-structured-v2. The published forecast and evidence cutoff remain on record.
Why the model chose this outcome
These factors were recorded with the forecast before the game. They describe the model inputs; they are not a guarantee.
- Alexander Bublik — serve +17 / return -3 vs ATP avg (99 matches)
- Tomas Machac — serve +27 / return +10 vs ATP avg (31 matches)
- Serve model on hard: Alexander Bublik holds 65% of service points, Tomas Machac 69% — best of 3.
What could change the forecast
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Result
LOST · Alexander Bublik won
Official settlement recorded Oct 9, 2026, 4:01 PM UTC. The pregame forecast above was not rewritten.
Match Winner: Alexander Bublik Win37.5% · won
Match Winner: Tomas Machac Win62.5% · lost