ATP · TENNIS
Baez vs Vacherot: Seer9 prediction and result
Game time
ATP · Oct 10, 4:00 AM UTC
BaezvsVacherot
Valentin Vacherot Win
Sebastian Baez — serve -31 / return +24 vs ATP avg (50 matches)
Valentin Vacherot — serve +16 / return +5 vs ATP avg (10 matches)
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Original model version: tennis-skill-structured-v2. The published forecast and evidence cutoff remain on record.
Why the model chose this outcome
These factors were recorded with the forecast before the game. They describe the model inputs; they are not a guarantee.
- Sebastian Baez — serve -31 / return +24 vs ATP avg (50 matches)
- Valentin Vacherot — serve +16 / return +5 vs ATP avg (10 matches)
- Serve model on hard: Sebastian Baez holds 59% of service points, Valentin Vacherot 63% — best of 3.
What could change the forecast
Model confidence is low for this matchup.
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Result
WON · Valentin Vacherot won
Official settlement recorded Oct 10, 2026, 4:06 PM UTC. The pregame forecast above was not rewritten.
Match Winner: Sebastian Baez Win30.2% · lost
Match Winner: Valentin Vacherot Win69.8% · won