ATP · TENNIS
Cerundolo vs Alcaraz: Seer9 prediction and result
Game time
ATP · Oct 10, 4:00 AM UTC
CerundolovsAlcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz Win
Juan Manuel Cerundolo — serve -5 / return +26 vs ATP avg (42 matches)
Carlos Alcaraz — serve +64 / return +74 vs ATP avg (221 matches)
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Original model version: tennis-skill-structured-v2. The published forecast and evidence cutoff remain on record.
Why the model chose this outcome
These factors were recorded with the forecast before the game. They describe the model inputs; they are not a guarantee.
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo — serve -5 / return +26 vs ATP avg (42 matches)
- Carlos Alcaraz — serve +64 / return +74 vs ATP avg (221 matches)
- Serve model on hard: Juan Manuel Cerundolo holds 53% of service points, Carlos Alcaraz 70% — best of 3.
What could change the forecast
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Result
WON · Carlos Alcaraz won
Official settlement recorded Oct 10, 2026, 4:06 PM UTC. The pregame forecast above was not rewritten.
Match Winner: Juan Manuel Cerundolo Win1.6% · lost
Match Winner: Carlos Alcaraz Win98.4% · won