ATP · TENNIS
Tabilo vs Carreno Busta: Seer9 prediction and result
Game time
ATP · Oct 10, 4:00 AM UTC
TabilovsCarreno Busta
Pablo Carreno Busta Win
Alejandro Tabilo — serve +15 / return +8 vs ATP avg (23 matches)
Pablo Carreno Busta — serve +8 / return -3 vs ATP avg (42 matches)
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Original model version: tennis-skill-structured-v2. The published forecast and evidence cutoff remain on record.
Why the model chose this outcome
These factors were recorded with the forecast before the game. They describe the model inputs; they are not a guarantee.
- Alejandro Tabilo — serve +15 / return +8 vs ATP avg (23 matches)
- Pablo Carreno Busta — serve +8 / return -3 vs ATP avg (42 matches)
- Serve model on hard: Alejandro Tabilo holds 66% of service points, Pablo Carreno Busta 65% — best of 3.
What could change the forecast
Model confidence is low for this matchup.
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Result
WON · Pablo Carreno Busta won
Official settlement recorded Oct 10, 2026, 4:06 PM UTC. The pregame forecast above was not rewritten.
Match Winner: Alejandro Tabilo Win49.9% · lost
Match Winner: Pablo Carreno Busta Win50.1% · won