ATP · TENNIS
Ugo Carabelli vs Auger-Aliassime: Seer9 prediction and result
Game time
ATP · Oct 10, 4:00 AM UTC
Ugo CarabellivsAuger-Aliassime
Felix Auger-Aliassime Win
Camilo Ugo Carabelli — serve -15 / return +17 vs ATP avg (9 matches)
Felix Auger-Aliassime — serve +37 / return +8 vs ATP avg (102 matches)
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Original model version: tennis-skill-structured-v2. The published forecast and evidence cutoff remain on record.
Why the model chose this outcome
These factors were recorded with the forecast before the game. They describe the model inputs; they are not a guarantee.
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli — serve -15 / return +17 vs ATP avg (9 matches)
- Felix Auger-Aliassime — serve +37 / return +8 vs ATP avg (102 matches)
- Serve model on hard: Camilo Ugo Carabelli holds 61% of service points, Felix Auger-Aliassime 67% — best of 3.
What could change the forecast
Model confidence is low for this matchup.
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Result
WON · Felix Auger-Aliassime won
Official settlement recorded Oct 10, 2026, 10:05 AM UTC. The pregame forecast above was not rewritten.
Match Winner: Camilo Ugo Carabelli Win24.6% · lost
Match Winner: Felix Auger-Aliassime Win75.4% · won