ATP · TENNIS
Davidovich Fokina vs Tiafoe: Seer9 prediction and result
Game time
ATP · Oct 11, 4:00 AM UTC
Davidovich FokinavsTiafoe
Frances Tiafoe Win
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina — serve +4 / return +21 vs ATP avg (55 matches)
Frances Tiafoe — serve +17 / return -4 vs ATP avg (56 matches)
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Original model version: tennis-skill-structured-v2. The published forecast and evidence cutoff remain on record.
Why the model chose this outcome
These factors were recorded with the forecast before the game. They describe the model inputs; they are not a guarantee.
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina — serve +4 / return +21 vs ATP avg (55 matches)
- Frances Tiafoe — serve +17 / return -4 vs ATP avg (56 matches)
- Serve model on hard: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina holds 65% of service points, Frances Tiafoe 64% — best of 3.
What could change the forecast
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Result
LOST · Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won
Official settlement recorded Oct 11, 2026, 4:12 PM UTC. The pregame forecast above was not rewritten.
Match Winner: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Win49.5% · won
Match Winner: Frances Tiafoe Win50.5% · lost