ATP · TENNIS
Khachanov vs Mannarino: Seer9 prediction and result
Game time
ATP · Oct 11, 4:00 AM UTC
KhachanovvsMannarino
Karen Khachanov Win
Karen Khachanov — serve +35 / return +26 vs ATP avg (78 matches)
Adrian Mannarino — serve -9 / return +4 vs ATP avg (70 matches)
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Original model version: tennis-skill-structured-v2. The published forecast and evidence cutoff remain on record.
Why the model chose this outcome
These factors were recorded with the forecast before the game. They describe the model inputs; they are not a guarantee.
- Karen Khachanov — serve +35 / return +26 vs ATP avg (78 matches)
- Adrian Mannarino — serve -9 / return +4 vs ATP avg (70 matches)
- Serve model on hard: Karen Khachanov holds 68% of service points, Adrian Mannarino 60% — best of 3.
What could change the forecast
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Result
WON · Karen Khachanov won
Official settlement recorded Oct 11, 2026, 10:10 AM UTC. The pregame forecast above was not rewritten.
Match Winner: Karen Khachanov Win91.5% · won
Match Winner: Adrian Mannarino Win8.5% · lost