WTA · TENNIS
Ostapenko vs Pegula: Seer9 prediction and result
Game time
WTA · Oct 14, 6:00 AM UTC
OstapenkovsPegula
Jessica Pegula Win
Jelena Ostapenko — serve +0 / return +26 vs WTA avg (53 matches)
Jessica Pegula — serve +48 / return +40 vs WTA avg (86 matches)
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Original model version: tennis-skill-structured-v2. The published forecast and evidence cutoff remain on record.
Why the model chose this outcome
These factors were recorded with the forecast before the game. They describe the model inputs; they are not a guarantee.
- Jelena Ostapenko — serve +0 / return +26 vs WTA avg (53 matches)
- Jessica Pegula — serve +48 / return +40 vs WTA avg (86 matches)
- Serve model on hard (assumed): Jelena Ostapenko holds 52% of service points, Jessica Pegula 62% — best of 3.
What could change the forecast
Surface/format not identified from the tournament; assumed hard-court best-of-3.
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Result
LOST · Jelena Ostapenko won
Official settlement recorded Oct 14, 2026, 4:32 PM UTC. The pregame forecast above was not rewritten.
Match Winner: Jelena Ostapenko Win10.9% · won
Match Winner: Jessica Pegula Win89.1% · lost