ATP · TENNIS
Gea vs Davidovich Fokina: Seer9 prediction and result
Game time
ATP · Oct 15, 4:00 AM UTC
GeavsDavidovich Fokina
Arthur Gea Win
hard, best of 3. Broad Elo model (ESPN results) with a separate market comparator.
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Original model version: tennis-elo-structured-v2. The published forecast and evidence cutoff remain on record.
Why the model chose this outcome
These factors were recorded with the forecast before the game. They describe the model inputs; they are not a guarantee.
- hard, best of 3. Broad Elo model (ESPN results) with a separate market comparator.
What could change the forecast
Model confidence is low for this matchup.
Broad win/loss Elo model (a player isn't in the serve/return charting data) — rougher.
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Result
LOST · Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won
Official settlement recorded Oct 15, 2026, 4:37 PM UTC. The pregame forecast above was not rewritten.
Match Winner: Arthur Gea Win75.3% · lost
Match Winner: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Win24.7% · won