ATP · TENNIS
Medvedev vs Paul: Seer9 prediction and result
Game time
ATP · Oct 16, 4:00 AM UTC
MedvedevvsPaul
Daniil Medvedev Win
Daniil Medvedev — serve +37 / return +50 vs ATP avg (284 matches)
Tommy Paul — serve +19 / return +24 vs ATP avg (77 matches)
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Original model version: tennis-skill-structured-v2. The published forecast and evidence cutoff remain on record.
Why the model chose this outcome
These factors were recorded with the forecast before the game. They describe the model inputs; they are not a guarantee.
- Daniil Medvedev — serve +37 / return +50 vs ATP avg (284 matches)
- Tommy Paul — serve +19 / return +24 vs ATP avg (77 matches)
- Serve model on hard: Daniil Medvedev holds 66% of service points, Tommy Paul 59% — best of 3.
What could change the forecast
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Result
WON · Daniil Medvedev won
Official settlement recorded Oct 16, 2026, 4:43 PM UTC. The pregame forecast above was not rewritten.
Match Winner: Daniil Medvedev Win80.2% · won
Match Winner: Tommy Paul Win19.8% · lost