ATP · TENNIS
Machac vs Khachanov: Seer9 prediction and result
Game time
ATP · Oct 22, 8:00 AM UTC
MachacvsKhachanov
Karen Khachanov Win
Tomas Machac — serve +27 / return +10 vs ATP avg (31 matches)
Karen Khachanov — serve +35 / return +26 vs ATP avg (78 matches)
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Original model version: tennis-skill-structured-v2. The published forecast and evidence cutoff remain on record.
Why the model chose this outcome
These factors were recorded with the forecast before the game. They describe the model inputs; they are not a guarantee.
- Tomas Machac — serve +27 / return +10 vs ATP avg (31 matches)
- Karen Khachanov — serve +35 / return +26 vs ATP avg (78 matches)
- Serve model on hard (assumed): Tomas Machac holds 65% of service points, Karen Khachanov 68% — best of 3.
What could change the forecast
Surface/format not identified from the tournament; assumed hard-court best-of-3.
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Result
WON · Karen Khachanov won
Official settlement recorded Oct 22, 2026, 4:46 PM UTC. The pregame forecast above was not rewritten.
Match Winner: Tomas Machac Win26.3% · lost
Match Winner: Karen Khachanov Win73.7% · won