ATP · TENNIS
Moutet vs Paul: Seer9 prediction and result
Game time
ATP · Oct 23, 4:00 AM UTC
MoutetvsPaul
Tommy Paul Win
Corentin Moutet — serve -9 / return +13 vs ATP avg (22 matches)
Tommy Paul — serve +19 / return +24 vs ATP avg (77 matches)
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Original model version: tennis-skill-structured-v2. The published forecast and evidence cutoff remain on record.
Why the model chose this outcome
These factors were recorded with the forecast before the game. They describe the model inputs; they are not a guarantee.
- Corentin Moutet — serve -9 / return +13 vs ATP avg (22 matches)
- Tommy Paul — serve +19 / return +24 vs ATP avg (77 matches)
- Serve model on hard (assumed): Corentin Moutet holds 59% of service points, Tommy Paul 65% — best of 3.
What could change the forecast
Model confidence is low for this matchup.
Surface/format not identified from the tournament; assumed hard-court best-of-3.
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Result
WON · Tommy Paul won
Official settlement recorded Oct 23, 2026, 4:50 PM UTC. The pregame forecast above was not rewritten.
Match Winner: Corentin Moutet Win13.0% · lost
Match Winner: Tommy Paul Win87.0% · won