ATP · TENNIS
Fearnley vs Carreno Busta: Seer9 prediction and result
Game time
ATP · Oct 24, 9:00 AM UTC
FearnleyvsCarreno Busta
Pablo Carreno Busta Win
hard (assumed), best of 3. Broad Elo model (ESPN results) with a separate market comparator.
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Original model version: tennis-elo-structured-v2. The published forecast and evidence cutoff remain on record.
Why the model chose this outcome
These factors were recorded with the forecast before the game. They describe the model inputs; they are not a guarantee.
- hard (assumed), best of 3. Broad Elo model (ESPN results) with a separate market comparator.
What could change the forecast
Model confidence is low for this matchup.
Broad win/loss Elo model (a player isn't in the serve/return charting data) — rougher.
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Result
LOST · Jacob Fearnley won
Official settlement recorded Nov 7, 2026, 9:28 AM UTC. The pregame forecast above was not rewritten.
Match Winner: Jacob Fearnley Win27.8% · won
Match Winner: Pablo Carreno Busta Win72.2% · lost