ATP · TENNIS
Darderi vs Arnaldi: Seer9 prediction and result
Game time
ATP · Oct 26, 4:00 AM UTC
DarderivsArnaldi
Matteo Arnaldi Win
Luciano Darderi — serve -3 / return -1 vs ATP avg (12 matches)
Matteo Arnaldi — serve -3 / return +14 vs ATP avg (21 matches)
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Original model version: tennis-skill-structured-v2. The published forecast and evidence cutoff remain on record.
Why the model chose this outcome
These factors were recorded with the forecast before the game. They describe the model inputs; they are not a guarantee.
- Luciano Darderi — serve -3 / return -1 vs ATP avg (12 matches)
- Matteo Arnaldi — serve -3 / return +14 vs ATP avg (21 matches)
- Serve model on hard (assumed): Luciano Darderi holds 62% of service points, Matteo Arnaldi 64% — best of 3.
What could change the forecast
Model confidence is low for this matchup.
Surface/format not identified from the tournament; assumed hard-court best-of-3.
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Result
LOST · Luciano Darderi won
Official settlement recorded Oct 26, 2026, 11:06 PM UTC. The pregame forecast above was not rewritten.
Match Winner: Luciano Darderi Win40.4% · won
Match Winner: Matteo Arnaldi Win59.6% · lost