ATP · TENNIS
Machac vs de Minaur: Seer9 prediction and result
Game time
ATP · Oct 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Machacvsde Minaur
Alex de Minaur Win
Tomas Machac — serve +27 / return +10 vs ATP avg (31 matches)
Alex de Minaur — serve +20 / return +48 vs ATP avg (138 matches)
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Original model version: tennis-skill-structured-v2. The published forecast and evidence cutoff remain on record.
Why the model chose this outcome
These factors were recorded with the forecast before the game. They describe the model inputs; they are not a guarantee.
- Tomas Machac — serve +27 / return +10 vs ATP avg (31 matches)
- Alex de Minaur — serve +20 / return +48 vs ATP avg (138 matches)
- Serve model on hard (assumed): Tomas Machac holds 61% of service points, Alex de Minaur 66% — best of 3.
What could change the forecast
Surface/format not identified from the tournament; assumed hard-court best-of-3.
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Result
WON · Alex de Minaur won
Official settlement recorded Oct 26, 2026, 11:06 PM UTC. The pregame forecast above was not rewritten.
Match Winner: Tomas Machac Win19.7% · lost
Match Winner: Alex de Minaur Win80.3% · won