ATP · TENNIS
Paul vs Alcaraz: Seer9 prediction and result
Game time
ATP · Oct 30, 2:00 PM UTC
PaulvsAlcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz Win
Tommy Paul — serve +19 / return +24 vs ATP avg (77 matches)
Carlos Alcaraz — serve +64 / return +74 vs ATP avg (221 matches)
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Original model version: tennis-skill-structured-v2. The published forecast and evidence cutoff remain on record.
Why the model chose this outcome
These factors were recorded with the forecast before the game. They describe the model inputs; they are not a guarantee.
- Tommy Paul — serve +19 / return +24 vs ATP avg (77 matches)
- Carlos Alcaraz — serve +64 / return +74 vs ATP avg (221 matches)
- Serve model on hard (assumed): Tommy Paul holds 57% of service points, Carlos Alcaraz 69% — best of 3.
What could change the forecast
Surface/format not identified from the tournament; assumed hard-court best-of-3.
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Result
WON · Carlos Alcaraz won
Official settlement recorded Oct 30, 2026, 11:07 PM UTC. The pregame forecast above was not rewritten.
Match Winner: Tommy Paul Win9.1% · lost
Match Winner: Carlos Alcaraz Win90.9% · won