ATP · TENNIS
Carreno Busta vs Bellucci: Seer9 prediction and result
Game time
ATP · Oct 31, 10:00 AM UTC
Carreno BustavsBellucci
Pablo Carreno Busta Win
Pablo Carreno Busta — serve +8 / return -3 vs ATP avg (42 matches)
Mattia Bellucci — serve +1 / return +2 vs ATP avg (10 matches)
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Original model version: tennis-skill-structured-v2. The published forecast and evidence cutoff remain on record.
Why the model chose this outcome
These factors were recorded with the forecast before the game. They describe the model inputs; they are not a guarantee.
- Pablo Carreno Busta — serve +8 / return -3 vs ATP avg (42 matches)
- Mattia Bellucci — serve +1 / return +2 vs ATP avg (10 matches)
- Serve model on hard: Pablo Carreno Busta holds 65% of service points, Mattia Bellucci 65% — best of 3.
What could change the forecast
Model confidence is low for this matchup.
This is a probability estimate, not a guaranteed result. Late information can change the forecast.
Result
LOST · Mattia Bellucci won
Official settlement recorded Oct 31, 2026, 5:10 PM UTC. The pregame forecast above was not rewritten.
Match Winner: Pablo Carreno Busta Win50.9% · lost
Match Winner: Mattia Bellucci Win49.1% · won