SEER9 / THE OPEN RECORD

Every forecast leaves a receipt.

The original published call stays visible beside its final outcome. Explore customer-facing results first, then inspect the separate historical model evaluation archive.

01 / PUBLISHED FORECASTS

The calls customers could see.

These forecasts were published before kickoff. Free and member picks enter this same public record after official settlement; each receipt keeps the original call and explanation.

Browse every published result ↗

SETTLED

38

WINS

18

MISSES

20

ACCURACY

47.4%

One primary match prediction per published fixture. Accuracy uses wins ÷ (wins + misses); 0 pushes and 0 voids are excluded from that percentage. These totals never include unpublished model evaluations.

Older published results →

WORLD CUP 2026 / LEGACY PREDICTION HISTORY

The original World Cup model scans.

Browse 11 matches and 1,556 timestamped probability rows. Kept separate from verified published picks and club model accuracy.

Explore the archive →

02 / HISTORICAL MODEL EVALUATIONS

The research archive.

A separate cohort of frozen model snapshots. These may include matches never shown as customer picks, so their accuracy is measured on its own.

EVALUATION SCORECARD

Graded model evaluations

Updated Oct 16, 2026 UTC

GRADED

468

Won or lost

WINS

241

Correct selections

MISSES

227

Incorrect selections

ACCURACY

51.5%

468 graded selections

A match can have up to three evaluated markets. This is selection accuracy for research snapshots, not the win rate of published customer picks.

02 / PROBABILITY QUALITY

The market is our benchmark.

MODEL BRIER

0.246

All graded selections. Lower is better.

PAIRED MODEL / MARKET

0.247 / 0.222

Same 463 selections with a market price.

MODEL VS MARKET

-0.025

Market Brier minus model Brier; positive favors Seer9.

03 / THE REGIME MAP

Where the model holds up.

BY COMPETITION

La Liga60.6%66 graded
Champions League59.3%54 graded
Premier League41.7%60 graded
UEFA Nations League50.0%288 graded

BY MARKET

Winner · 90 min43.0%156 graded
Goals · O/U 2.555.8%156 graded
Both teams score55.8%156 graded

04 / MATCH ARCHIVE

Research selections and outcomes.

156 matches · 468 graded selections · latest 8 shown

La Liga · Oct 16, 2026

Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante

1/3 correct

Winner · 90 min

Deportivo La Coruna WinMISS

Model 59.1%

Goals · O/U 2.5

Over 2.5 GoalsMISS

Model 70.2%

Both teams score

BTTS YesWIN

Model 66.6%

Inspect the frozen selections →

Champions League · Oct 14, 2026

Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain

3/3 correct

Winner · 90 min

Paris Saint Germain WinWIN

Model 40.5%

Goals · O/U 2.5

Over 2.5 GoalsWIN

Model 62.2%

Both teams score

BTTS YesWIN

Model 64.9%

Inspect the frozen selections →

Champions League · Oct 14, 2026

Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe

2/3 correct

Winner · 90 min

Aston Villa WinWIN

Model 44.6%

Goals · O/U 2.5

Over 2.5 GoalsWIN

Model 55.1%

Both teams score

BTTS YesMISS

Model 58.9%

Inspect the frozen selections →

Champions League · Oct 14, 2026

Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund

1/3 correct

Winner · 90 min

Bodo/Glimt WinWIN

Model 64.5%

Goals · O/U 2.5

Over 2.5 GoalsMISS

Model 81.9%

Both teams score

BTTS YesMISS

Model 75.0%

Inspect the frozen selections →

Champions League · Oct 14, 2026

AS Roma vs Real Madrid

2/3 correct

Winner · 90 min

AS Roma WinMISS

Model 37.7%

Goals · O/U 2.5

Over 2.5 GoalsWIN

Model 63.3%

Both teams score

BTTS YesWIN

Model 65.8%

Inspect the frozen selections →

Champions League · Oct 14, 2026

Real Betis vs FC Porto

3/3 correct

Winner · 90 min

Real Betis WinWIN

Model 69.3%

Goals · O/U 2.5

Over 2.5 GoalsWIN

Model 67.5%

Both teams score

BTTS YesWIN

Model 58.4%

Inspect the frozen selections →

Champions League · Oct 14, 2026

Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC

1/3 correct

Winner · 90 min

AEK Athens FC WinMISS

Model 38.3%

Goals · O/U 2.5

Under 2.5 GoalsMISS

Model 53.9%

Both teams score

BTTS YesWIN

Model 52.6%

Inspect the frozen selections →

Champions League · Oct 14, 2026

Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart

1/3 correct

Winner · 90 min

Slovan Bratislava WinMISS

Model 43.9%

Goals · O/U 2.5

Over 2.5 GoalsWIN

Model 64.4%

Both teams score

BTTS YesMISS

Model 66.2%

Inspect the frozen selections →

05 / PAPER STRATEGIES

The rules, tested on settled history.

Hypothetical $10 stakes and $1,000 starting bankroll; 2% payout haircut. These are paper results, not customer returns. Only markets with comparable prices enter the simulation.

All qualified edges

-25.8%

76/204 correct · $473.32 ending bankroll

Every pre-match selection clearing the market by at least 1.5 points.

90-minute winner

-36.0%

18/78 correct · $718.92 ending bankroll

Qualified 1X2 selections; totals and BTTS excluded.

Confirmed inputs

-17.2%

31/72 correct · $876.23 ending bankroll

Positive-edge picks frozen only after inputs reached confirmed status.

Domestic leagues

-35.4%

19/58 correct · $794.65 ending bankroll

Premier League and La Liga edges, isolating the league regime from UEFA play.

Market favorite

-3.8%

279/463 correct · $822.14 ending bankroll

Control strategy using the shortest-priced outcome in each market.