GRADED MODEL EVALUATION / UEFA Nations League

Lithuania vs Azerbaijan

Kickoff Sep 27, 2026, 1:00 PM · 3 graded market selections

The frozen selections

Both teams to score

lost

MODEL PROBABILITY

54.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

61.7%

INPUT STATUS

provisional · low confidence

Model soccer-club-dixon-coles-v1-shadow · Frozen Sep 24, 2026, 2:54 PM · Graded Sep 27, 2026, 6:54 PM

Match winner (90 min)

lost

MODEL PROBABILITY

44.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

41.7%

INPUT STATUS

provisional · low confidence

Model soccer-club-dixon-coles-v1-shadow · Frozen Sep 24, 2026, 2:54 PM · Graded Sep 27, 2026, 6:54 PM

Total goals O/U 2.5

won

MODEL PROBABILITY

60.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

66.7%

INPUT STATUS

provisional · low confidence

Model soccer-club-dixon-coles-v1-shadow · Frozen Sep 24, 2026, 2:54 PM · Graded Sep 27, 2026, 6:54 PM