GRADED MODEL EVALUATION / UEFA Nations League

Azerbaijan vs Lithuania

Kickoff Oct 4, 2026, 1:00 PM · 3 graded market selections

The frozen selections

Match winner (90 min)

lost

MODEL PROBABILITY

38.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

32.3%

INPUT STATUS

provisional · low confidence

Model soccer-club-event-twin-v2.1-shadow · Frozen Oct 4, 2026, 12:28 PM · Graded Oct 4, 2026, 3:21 PM

Total goals O/U 2.5

won

MODEL PROBABILITY

68.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

69.4%

INPUT STATUS

provisional · low confidence

Model soccer-club-event-twin-v2.1-shadow · Frozen Oct 4, 2026, 12:28 PM · Graded Oct 4, 2026, 3:21 PM

Both teams to score

won

MODEL PROBABILITY

59.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

61.7%

INPUT STATUS

provisional · low confidence

Model soccer-club-event-twin-v2.1-shadow · Frozen Oct 4, 2026, 12:28 PM · Graded Oct 4, 2026, 3:21 PM