Match winner (90 min)
France Win
MODEL PROBABILITY
47.9%
MARKET PROBABILITY
67.6%
INPUT STATUS
provisional · medium confidence
Model soccer-club-event-twin-v2.1-shadow · Frozen Oct 5, 2026, 5:30 PM · Graded Oct 5, 2026, 9:22 PM
GRADED MODEL EVALUATION / UEFA Nations League
Kickoff Oct 5, 2026, 6:45 PM · 3 graded market selections
Match winner (90 min)
MODEL PROBABILITY
47.9%
MARKET PROBABILITY
67.6%
INPUT STATUS
provisional · medium confidence
Model soccer-club-event-twin-v2.1-shadow · Frozen Oct 5, 2026, 5:30 PM · Graded Oct 5, 2026, 9:22 PM
Total goals O/U 2.5
MODEL PROBABILITY
51.8%
MARKET PROBABILITY
66.7%
INPUT STATUS
provisional · medium confidence
Model soccer-club-event-twin-v2.1-shadow · Frozen Oct 5, 2026, 5:30 PM · Graded Oct 5, 2026, 9:22 PM
Both teams to score
MODEL PROBABILITY
55.4%
MARKET PROBABILITY
59.9%
INPUT STATUS
provisional · medium confidence
Model soccer-club-event-twin-v2.1-shadow · Frozen Oct 5, 2026, 5:30 PM · Graded Oct 5, 2026, 9:22 PM