Match winner (90 min)
Spain Win
MODEL PROBABILITY
64.1%
MARKET PROBABILITY
78.7%
INPUT STATUS
provisional · medium confidence
Model soccer-club-event-twin-v2.1-shadow · Frozen Oct 6, 2026, 5:31 PM · Graded Oct 6, 2026, 9:22 PM
GRADED MODEL EVALUATION / UEFA Nations League
Kickoff Oct 6, 2026, 6:45 PM · 3 graded market selections
Match winner (90 min)
MODEL PROBABILITY
64.1%
MARKET PROBABILITY
78.7%
INPUT STATUS
provisional · medium confidence
Model soccer-club-event-twin-v2.1-shadow · Frozen Oct 6, 2026, 5:31 PM · Graded Oct 6, 2026, 9:22 PM
Total goals O/U 2.5
MODEL PROBABILITY
77.0%
MARKET PROBABILITY
69.4%
INPUT STATUS
provisional · medium confidence
Model soccer-club-event-twin-v2.1-shadow · Frozen Oct 6, 2026, 5:31 PM · Graded Oct 6, 2026, 9:22 PM
Both teams to score
MODEL PROBABILITY
70.5%
MARKET PROBABILITY
57.8%
INPUT STATUS
provisional · medium confidence
Model soccer-club-event-twin-v2.1-shadow · Frozen Oct 6, 2026, 5:31 PM · Graded Oct 6, 2026, 9:22 PM