Match winner (90 min)
Draw
MODEL PROBABILITY
35.2%
MARKET PROBABILITY
30.3%
INPUT STATUS
provisional · medium confidence
Model soccer-club-event-twin-v2.1-shadow · Frozen Oct 6, 2026, 5:31 PM · Graded Oct 6, 2026, 9:22 PM
GRADED MODEL EVALUATION / UEFA Nations League
Kickoff Oct 6, 2026, 6:45 PM · 3 graded market selections
Match winner (90 min)
MODEL PROBABILITY
35.2%
MARKET PROBABILITY
30.3%
INPUT STATUS
provisional · medium confidence
Model soccer-club-event-twin-v2.1-shadow · Frozen Oct 6, 2026, 5:31 PM · Graded Oct 6, 2026, 9:22 PM
Total goals O/U 2.5
MODEL PROBABILITY
71.4%
MARKET PROBABILITY
65.4%
INPUT STATUS
provisional · medium confidence
Model soccer-club-event-twin-v2.1-shadow · Frozen Oct 6, 2026, 5:31 PM · Graded Oct 6, 2026, 9:22 PM
Both teams to score
MODEL PROBABILITY
61.9%
MARKET PROBABILITY
61.7%
INPUT STATUS
provisional · medium confidence
Model soccer-club-event-twin-v2.1-shadow · Frozen Oct 6, 2026, 5:31 PM · Graded Oct 6, 2026, 9:22 PM