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GRADED MODEL EVALUATION / Premier League

Newcastle vs Aston Villa

Kickoff Oct 17, 2026, 4:30 PM · 3 graded market selections

The frozen selections

Match winner (90 min)

Newcastle Win

lost

MODEL PROBABILITY

41.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

44.4%

INPUT STATUS

provisional · medium confidence

Model soccer-club-event-twin-v2.1-shadow · Frozen Oct 17, 2026, 1:52 AM · Graded Oct 19, 2026, 9:36 PM

Total goals O/U 2.5

Over 2.5 Goals

lost

MODEL PROBABILITY

68.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

61.7%

INPUT STATUS

provisional · medium confidence

Model soccer-club-event-twin-v2.1-shadow · Frozen Oct 17, 2026, 1:52 AM · Graded Oct 19, 2026, 9:36 PM

Both teams to score

BTTS Yes

lost

MODEL PROBABILITY

69.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

66.7%

INPUT STATUS

provisional · medium confidence

Model soccer-club-event-twin-v2.1-shadow · Frozen Oct 17, 2026, 1:52 AM · Graded Oct 19, 2026, 9:36 PM